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1.
BMC Geriatr ; 24(1): 355, 2024 Apr 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38649809

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Older adults are increasingly susceptible to prolonged illness, multiple chronic diseases, and disabilities, which can lead to the coexistence of multimorbidity and frailty. Multimorbidity may result in various noncommunicable disease (NCD) patterns or configurations that could be associated with frailty and death. Mortality risk may vary depending on the presence of specific chronic diseases configurations or frailty. METHODS: The aim was to examine the impact of NCD configurations on mortality risk among older adults with distinct frailty phenotypes. The population was analyzed from the Costa Rican Longevity and Healthy Aging Study Cohort (CRELES). A total of 2,662 adults aged 60 or older were included and followed for 5 years. Exploratory factor analysis and various clustering techniques were utilized to identify NCD configurations. The frequency of NCD accumulation was also assessed for a multimorbidity definition. Frailty phenotypes were set according to Fried et al. criteria. Kaplan‒Meier survival analyses, mortality rates, and Cox proportional hazards models were estimated. RESULTS: Four different types of patterns were identified: 'Neuro-psychiatric', 'Metabolic', 'Cardiovascular', and 'Mixt' configurations. These configurations showed a higher mortality risk than the mere accumulation of NCDs [Cardiovascular HR:1.65 (1.07-2.57); 'Mixt' HR:1.49 (1.00-2.22); ≥3 NCDs HR:1.31 (1.09-1.58)]. Frailty exhibited a high and constant mortality risk, irrespective of the presence of any NCD configuration or multimorbidity definition. However, HRs decreased and lost statistical significance when phenotypes were considered in the Cox models [frailty + 'Cardiovascular' HR:1.56 (1.00-2.42); frailty + 'Mixt':1.42 (0.95-2.11); and frailty + ≥ 3 NCDs HR:1.23 (1.02-1.49)]. CONCLUSIONS: Frailty accompanying multimorbidity emerges as a more crucial indicator of mortality risk than multimorbidity alone. Therefore, studying NCD configurations is worthwhile as they may offer improved risk profiles for mortality as alternatives to straightforward counts.


Subject(s)
Frailty , Multimorbidity , Phenotype , Humans , Multimorbidity/trends , Aged , Male , Female , Frailty/mortality , Frailty/epidemiology , Frailty/diagnosis , Middle Aged , Costa Rica/epidemiology , Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology , Noncommunicable Diseases/mortality , Aged, 80 and over , Frail Elderly/statistics & numerical data , Mortality/trends , Risk Assessment/methods , Risk Factors
2.
Aust J Rural Health ; 32(2): 365-376, 2024 Apr.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38530038

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE: Farmers experience a specific set of unique dangers, which increases their risk of mortality compared with any other occupation. This study hypothesised that Northern Ireland's (NIs) agriculturally saturated Wards have a higher risk of mortality compared against non-agriculturally based Wards. DESIGN: The Population Census and Farm Census information were downloaded from the Northern Ireland Neighbourhood Service (NINIS) online depository to compile three mortality-based data sets (2001, 2011, pooled data sets). Assessing the impact of socio-demographics and farming activity on Ward-level mortality patterns using farm and population decennial censuses. This study analysed all 582 Ward areas of NI, which enclosed the entire populace of the country in 2001 and 2011. FINDINGS: Path analysis was utilised to examine direct and indirect paths linked with mortality within two census years (2001; 2011), alongside testing pathways for invariance between census years (pooled data set). Ward-level results provided evidence for exogenous variables to mortality operating through three/four endogenous variables via: (i) direct effects (age), (ii) summed indirect effects (age; males; living alone; farming profit; and deprivation) and (iii) total effects (age; males; living alone; and deprivation). Multi-group results cross-validated these cause-and-effect relationships relating to mortality. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: This study demonstrated that farming intensity scores, farming profits and socio-demographics' influence on mortality risk in a Ward were dependent on the specific social-environmental characteristics within that area. In line with earlier area level research, results support the aggregated interpretation that higher levels of farming activity within a Ward increase the risk of mortality within those Wards of NI. This was an essential study to enable future tailoring of new strategies and upgrading of current policies to bring about significant mortality risk change at local level.


Subject(s)
Censuses , Mortality , Humans , Northern Ireland/epidemiology , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Adult , Mortality/trends , Aged , Agriculture , Adolescent , Farms/statistics & numerical data , Socioeconomic Factors , Young Adult , Farmers/statistics & numerical data , Aged, 80 and over
3.
4.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 380, 2024 02 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38317148

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: During a COVID-19 pandemic, it is imperative to investigate the outcomes of all non-COVID-19 diseases. This study determines hospital admissions and mortality rates related to non-COVID-19 diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic among 41 million Iranians. METHOD: This nationwide retrospective study used data from the Iran Health Insurance Organization. From September 23, 2019, to Feb 19, 2022, there were four study periods: pre-pandemic (Sept 23-Feb 19, 2020), first peak (Mar 20-Apr 19, 2020), first year (Feb 20, 2020-Feb 18, 2021), and the second year (Feb 19, 2021-Feb 19, 2022) following the pandemic. Cause-specific hospital admission and in-hospital mortality are the main outcomes analyzed based on age and sex. Negative binomial regression was used to estimate the monthly adjusted Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR) to compare hospital admission rates in aggregated data. A logistic regression was used to estimate the monthly adjusted in-hospital mortality Odds Ratio (OR) for different pandemic periods. RESULTS: During the study there were 6,522,114 non-COVID-19 hospital admissions and 139,679 deaths. Prior to the COVID-19 outbreak, the standardized hospital admission rate per million person-month was 7115.19, which decreased to 2856.35 during the first peak (IRR 0.40, [0.25-0.64]). In-hospital mortality also increased from 20.20 to 31.99 (OR 2.05, [1.97-2.13]). All age and sex groups had decreased admission rates, except for females at productive ages. Two years after the COVID-19 outbreak, the non-COVID-19 hospital admission rate (IRR 1.25, [1.13-1.40]) and mortality rate (OR 1.05, [1.04-1.07]) increased compared to the rates before the pandemic. The respiratory disease admission rate decreased in the first (IRR 0.23, [0.17-0.31]) and second years (IRR 0.35, [0.26-0.47] compared to the rate before the pandemic. There was a significant reduction in hospitalizations for pneumonia (IRR 0.30, [0.21-0.42]), influenza (IRR 0.04, [0.03-0.06]) and COPD (IRR 0.39, [0.23-0.65]) during the second year. There was a significant and continuous rise in the hematological admission rate during the study, reaching 186.99 per million person-month in the second year, reflecting an IRR of 2.84 [2.42-3.33] compared to the pre-pandemic period. The mortality rates of mental disorders (OR 2.15, [1.65-2.78]) and musculoskeletal (OR 1.48, [1.20-1.82), nervous system (OR 1.42, [1.26-1.60]), metabolic (OR 1.99, [1.80-2.19]) and circulatory diseases (OR 1.35, [1.31-1.39]) increased in the second year compare to pre-pandemic. Myocardial infarction (OR 1.33, [1.19-1.49]), heart failure (OR 1.59, [1.35-1.87]) and stroke (OR 1.35, [1.24-1.47]) showed an increase in mortality rates without changes in hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: In the era of COVID-19, the changes seem to have had a long-term effect on non-COVID-19 diseases. Countries should prepare for similar crises in the future to ensure medical services are not suspended.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Hospitalization , Mortality , Female , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data , Iran/epidemiology , Middle Eastern People/statistics & numerical data , Myocardial Infarction/epidemiology , Pandemics/statistics & numerical data , Retrospective Studies , Longitudinal Studies , Mortality/trends , Male
5.
Rev Bras Epidemiol ; 27: e240003, 2024.
Article in English, Portuguese | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38294061

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To assess the magnitude, trend, and spatial patterns of childhood and adolescent cancer mortality between 1996 and 2017 in 133 Brazilian intermediate regions by using socioeconomic and healthcare services indicators. METHODS: This is an ecological study for analyzing the trend of mortality from cancer in childhood and adolescence through time series. Data on deaths were extracted from the Brazilian Mortality Information System. Data on population were extracted from the 1991, 2000, and 2010 demographic censuses of the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics, with interpolation for intercensal years. Time series were delineated for mortality by type of cancer in each intermediate region. Such regions were grouped by macroregions to present the results. The calculation and interpretation of mortality trends use the Prais-Winsten autoregression procedure. RESULTS: Mortality rates for all neoplasms were higher in the Northern region (7.79 deaths per 100 thousand population), while for leukemias, they were higher in the Southern region (1.61 deaths per 100 thousand population). In both regions, mortality was higher in boys and in the 0-4 age group. The trend was decreasing (annual percent change [APC] - -2.11 [95%CI: -3.14; - 1.30]) for all neoplasms in the Brazilian regions and stationary (APC - -0.43 [95%CI: -1.61; 2.12]) for leukemias in the analyzed period. CONCLUSION: The mortality rate for all neoplasms showed higher values in regions with smaller numbers of ICU beds in the public healthcare system.


Subject(s)
Leukemia , Neoplasms , Adolescent , Humans , Male , Brazil/epidemiology , Delivery of Health Care , Geography , Leukemia/mortality , Mortality/trends , Neoplasms/mortality
8.
Med. clín (Ed. impr.) ; 162(1): 9-14, ene. 2024. ilus, mapas
Article in English | IBECS | ID: ibc-229040

ABSTRACT

Introduction Mortality from COPD has decreased in Spain in recent years, but it is unknown whether this decline has been homogeneous among the different regions. Methods From the Statistical Portal of the Ministry of Health of Spain we obtained the age-adjusted mortality rates/100,000 inhabitants for men and women in Spain and the Autonomous Communities for the years 1999–2019, using the coding of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD 10, sections J40–J44). With the adjusted rates we performed a jointpoint regression analysis to estimate an annual percentage change (APC), as well as identify possible points of trend change. Statistical significance was considered for a value of p<0.05. Results During the study period, COPD mortality rates adjusted in Spain decreased from 28.77 deaths/100,000 inhabitants in 1999 to 12.14 deaths/100,000 inhabitants in 2019. We observed a linear decline in COPD mortality in men at national level of −3.67% per year (95% CI −4.1 to −3.4; p<0.001), with differences between the Autonomous Communities. Mortality in women also experienced a decrease in mortality in two phases, with a first period from 1999 to 2006 with a fall of −6.8% per year (95% CI −8.6 to −5.0; p<0.001) and a second period from 2006 to 2019 with a decrease in mortality of −2.1% (95% CI −2.8 to −1.3; p<0.001), with again differences between the Autonomous Communities. Conclusion Mortality rates from COPD have decreased heterogeneously among the different Autonomous Communities in both men and women (AU)


Introducción La mortalidad por EPOC ha disminuido en España en los últimos años, pero se desconoce si esta caída ha sido homogénea entre las diferentes comunidades autónomas. Metodología consultando el Portal Estadístico del Ministerio de Sanidad de España obtuvimos las tasas ajustadas por edad/100.000 habitantes para hombres y mujeres de España y las CCAA para los años 1999 a 2019, utilizando la codificación de la Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades (CIE 10, secciones J40 a J44). Con las tasas ajustadas realizamos un análisis de regresión de jointpoint con el objetivo de estimar un porcentaje anual de cambio (APC), así como identificar posibles puntos de cambio de tendencia. Se consideró la significación estadística para un valor de p<0.05. Resultados Durante el periodo de estudio, las tasas de mortalidad global ajustada por EPOC en España pasaron de 28.77 muertes/100.000 habitantes en 1999 a 12.14 muertes/100.000 habitantes en 2019. Observamos una caída de la mortalidad por EPOC en varones a nivel de España lineal del -3.67% anual (IC 95% -4.1 a -3.4; p<0.001), con diferencias entre las CCAA. La mortalidad en mujeres también experimentó una disminución de mortalidad en dos fases, con un primer periodo de 1999 a 2006 con caída del -6.8% anual (IC 95% -8.6 a -5.0; p<0.001) y un segundo periodo de 2006 a 2019 con un descenso de la mortalidad del -2.1% (IC 95% -2.8 a -1.3; p<0.001), encontrando diferencias entre las CCAA. Conclusiones Las tasas de mortalidad por EPOC han disminuido de forma heterogénea entre las diferentes CCAA (AU)


Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/mortality , Mortality/trends , Spain/epidemiology
9.
JAMA ; 331(3): 233-241, 2024 01 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38227031

ABSTRACT

Importance: Breast cancer mortality in the US declined between 1975 and 2019. The association of changes in metastatic breast cancer treatment with improved breast cancer mortality is unclear. Objective: To simulate the relative associations of breast cancer screening, treatment of stage I to III breast cancer, and treatment of metastatic breast cancer with improved breast cancer mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: Using aggregated observational and clinical trial data on the dissemination and effects of screening and treatment, 4 Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) models simulated US breast cancer mortality rates. Death due to breast cancer, overall and by estrogen receptor and ERBB2 (formerly HER2) status, among women aged 30 to 79 years in the US from 1975 to 2019 was simulated. Exposures: Screening mammography, treatment of stage I to III breast cancer, and treatment of metastatic breast cancer. Main Outcomes and Measures: Model-estimated age-adjusted breast cancer mortality rate associated with screening, stage I to III treatment, and metastatic treatment relative to the absence of these exposures was assessed, as was model-estimated median survival after breast cancer metastatic recurrence. Results: The breast cancer mortality rate in the US (age adjusted) was 48/100 000 women in 1975 and 27/100 000 women in 2019. In 2019, the combination of screening, stage I to III treatment, and metastatic treatment was associated with a 58% reduction (model range, 55%-61%) in breast cancer mortality. Of this reduction, 29% (model range, 19%-33%) was associated with treatment of metastatic breast cancer, 47% (model range, 35%-60%) with treatment of stage I to III breast cancer, and 25% (model range, 21%-33%) with mammography screening. Based on simulations, the greatest change in survival after metastatic recurrence occurred between 2000 and 2019, from 1.9 years (model range, 1.0-2.7 years) to 3.2 years (model range, 2.0-4.9 years). Median survival for estrogen receptor (ER)-positive/ERBB2-positive breast cancer improved by 2.5 years (model range, 2.0-3.4 years), whereas median survival for ER-/ERBB2- breast cancer improved by 0.5 years (model range, 0.3-0.8 years). Conclusions and Relevance: According to 4 simulation models, breast cancer screening and treatment in 2019 were associated with a 58% reduction in US breast cancer mortality compared with interventions in 1975. Simulations suggested that treatment for stage I to III breast cancer was associated with approximately 47% of the mortality reduction, whereas treatment for metastatic breast cancer was associated with 29% of the reduction and screening with 25% of the reduction.


Subject(s)
Breast Neoplasms , Adult , Aged , Female , Humans , Middle Aged , Breast/diagnostic imaging , Breast/metabolism , Breast Neoplasms/diagnosis , Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology , Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Breast Neoplasms/therapy , Early Detection of Cancer , History, 20th Century , History, 21st Century , Mammography/methods , Mortality/trends , Receptors, Estrogen/metabolism , United States/epidemiology , Receptor, ErbB-2/metabolism
10.
Rev Bras Epidemiol ; 27: e240001, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38265313

ABSTRACT

OBJETIVE: To provide a comprehensive analysis of mortality trends from acute pesticide poisoning in Mexico from 2000 through 2021. METHODS: The governmental records of deaths from acute pesticide poisoning were used. The age-standardized years of life lost and aged-standardized mortality rates were estimated. Significant changes in trends of annual percentage change were identified using Joinpoint regression. RESULTS: Between 2000 and 2021, mortality was primarily observed in individuals aged 15 to 19 years. Males were the most affected. Self-inflicted pesticide poisoning was the primary registered reason for death. The age-standardized mortality rate from acute pesticide poisoning was reduced from 2012 to 2021 (APC: -4.4; p=0.003). CONCLUSION: This report is the first study about the mortality rate from acute pesticide poisoning in Mexico. The results provided evidence to consider in developing laws to prevent acute pesticide poisoning.


Subject(s)
Death , Government , Pesticides , Humans , Male , Mexico , Pesticides/poisoning , Poisoning , Mortality/trends
11.
12.
Rev. esp. enferm. dig ; 116(1): 14-21, 2024. ilus, graf, tab
Article in Spanish | IBECS | ID: ibc-229476

ABSTRACT

Introduction: the aim of this study was to describe the trends of pancreatic cancer mortality by autonomous communities (ACs) and gender in Spain (1980-2021). Methods: an ecological trend study was performed (with aggregated data obtained from the National Institute of Statistics). Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) for pancreatic cancer (per 100,000) were estimated by direct standardization, using the European standard population. Trends in ASMR (all ages and truncated 35-64 years) were analyzed by sex in each AC using a joinpoint regression model. The annual percent changes (APC) and average annual percentage of change (AAPC) were computed for trends using the joinpoint regression analysis. Results: in both sexes, ASMRs (all ages) increased significantly (p < 0.05) during the study period (AAPC: 1.5 % in males and 1.8 % in females). The joinpoint analysis identified a turning point in the trends in the late 1980s, which delineates two periods: an initial period of significant increase followed by a period of slowing of the increase (APC: 0.9 % and 1.4 % in males and females respectively; p < 0.05). In both sexes, a significant increase in ASMR (all ages) was observed in all ACs, except in Navarre, where the rates remained stable in males. In males, three ACs (Galicia, Madrid and Navarre) showed a point of inflexion in the time trend around the year 2000 (1999, 2000 and 2001 respectively), when the rates, after a period of significant increase (ACs: 2.6 %, 2.4 %, and 2.4 %, respectively; p < 0.05), stabilized (Galicia and Navarre) or the increase slowed (Madrid). In females, only Madrid showed a point of inflection in 1992, when, after a significant increase, the rates slowed down (1992-2021; APC: 1.5 %; p < 0.05).  Conclusions: the upward trend in pancreatic cancer mortality in some ACs seems to have slowed (in both sexes in Madrid), stabilized (in men in Galicia and Navarre) or turned around (in men aged 30-64 in Navarre) (AU)


Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Adult , Middle Aged , Pancreatic Neoplasms/mortality , Mortality/trends , Spain/epidemiology , Risk Factors , Prevalence , Incidence
13.
Rev. esp. enferm. dig ; 116(1): 22-28, 2024. graf
Article in English | IBECS | ID: ibc-229477

ABSTRACT

Background: this study aimed to evaluate the effects of age, time period and cohort (A-P-C) on gastric cancer (GC) mortality in Spain from 1980 to 2021. Methods: an ecological trend study was performed (with aggregated data obtained from the Spanish National Statistics Institute (INE). Joinpoint regression software was used to estimate rates by sex and age group (< 35, 35-64, > 64 years) and mortality trends. The National Cancer Institute A-P-C tools were used to assess the effects of age, time of death and birth cohort. Results: GC mortality rates in Spain decreased significantly in both sexes. In the under-35 age group, rates were stable after an initial significant decline. In the 35-64 age group, the decline was more pronounced in males than in females. In the 65+ age group, rates fell significantly for both sexes, but more so for females than for males. The net drift and local drift also showed significant decreases across all age groups from 24 years onwards. GC mortality rates increased with age and decreased with calendar time and successive birth cohorts, regardless of sex. The ratio of age-specific rates between males and females increased with age, and birth cohort relative risk estimates followed a steady downward trend until the mid-1970s, after which the decline stabilized. The relative risk decreased for both sexes, with a more pronounced decrease in males. Conclusion: GC mortality rates in Spain have been decreasing over time and across successive birth cohorts, with a stabilizing trend observed for those under 35 years of age (AU)


Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Young Adult , Adult , Middle Aged , Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Stomach Neoplasms/mortality , Mortality/trends , Cohort Studies , Ecological Studies , Spain/epidemiology , Incidence
15.
J Natl Med Assoc ; 116(1): 56-69, 2024 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38151422

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Racial/ethnic inequities for inpatient mortality in children at a national level in the U.S. have not been explored. The objective of this study was to evaluate differences in inpatient mortality rate among different racial/ethnic groups, using the Kids' Inpatient Database. METHODS: A cross-sectional study of children of ages greater than 28 days and less than 21 years discharged during 2012 and 2016. Racial/ethnic groups - White, Black, Hispanic, Asian and Pacific Islander and Native Americans were analyzed in two cohorts, Cohort A (all discharges) and Cohort B (ventilated children). RESULTS: A total of 4,247,604 and 79,116 discharges were included in cohorts A and B, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that the inpatient mortality rate was highest among Asian and Pacific Islander children for both cohorts: A (0.47% [0.42-0.51]), B (10.9% [9.8-12.1]). Regression analysis showed that Asian and Pacific Islander and Black children had increased odds of inpatient mortality compared to White children: A (1.319 [1.162-1.496], 1.178 [1.105-1.257], respectively) and B (1.391 [1.199-1.613], 1.163 [1.079-1.255], respectively). Population-based hospital mortality was highest in Black children (1.17 per 10,000 children). CONCLUSIONS: Inpatient mortality rates are significantly higher in U.S. children of Asian and Pacific Islander and Black races compared to White children. U.S. population-based metrics such as hospitalization rate, ventilation rate, and hospital mortality rate are highest in Black children. Our data suggest that lower median household income alone may not account for a higher inpatient mortality rate. The causes and prevention of racial and ethnic inequities in hospitalized children need to be explored further.


Subject(s)
Child, Hospitalized , Ethnicity , Healthcare Disparities , Mortality , Racial Groups , Child , Humans , Child, Hospitalized/statistics & numerical data , Cross-Sectional Studies , Ethnicity/statistics & numerical data , Hispanic or Latino/statistics & numerical data , Racial Groups/statistics & numerical data , United States/epidemiology , Healthcare Disparities/ethnology , Healthcare Disparities/statistics & numerical data , Child Mortality/ethnology , Child Mortality/trends , Adolescent , Young Adult , Mortality/ethnology , Mortality/trends , Infant , Child, Preschool , Black or African American/statistics & numerical data , White/statistics & numerical data , Asian/statistics & numerical data , Pacific Island People/statistics & numerical data , American Indian or Alaska Native/statistics & numerical data
16.
Lancet Planet Health ; 7(12): e963-e975, 2023 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38056967

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Long-term improvements in air quality and public health in the continental USA were disrupted over the past decade by increased fire emissions that potentially offset the decrease in anthropogenic emissions. This study aims to estimate trends in black carbon and PM2·5 concentrations and their attributable mortality burden across the USA. METHODS: In this study, we derived daily concentrations of PM2·5 and its highly toxic black carbon component at a 1-km resolution in the USA from 2000 to 2020 via deep learning that integrated big data from satellites, models, and surface observations. We estimated the annual PM2·5-attributable and black carbon-attributable mortality burden at each 1-km2 grid using concentration-response functions collected from a national cohort study and a meta-analysis study, respectively. We investigated the spatiotemporal linear-regressed trends in PM2·5 and black carbon pollution and their associated premature deaths from 2000 to 2020, and the impact of wildfires on air quality and public health. FINDINGS: Our results showed that PM2·5 and black carbon estimates are reliable, with sample-based cross-validated coefficients of determination of 0·82 and 0·80, respectively, for daily estimates (0·97 and 0·95 for monthly estimates). Both PM2·5 and black carbon in the USA showed significantly decreasing trends overall during 2000 to 2020 (22% decrease for PM2·5 and 11% decrease for black carbon), leading to a reduction of around 4200 premature deaths per year (95% CI 2960-5050). However, since 2010, the decreasing trends of fine particles and premature deaths have reversed to increase in the western USA (55% increase in PM2·5, 86% increase in black carbon, and increase of 670 premature deaths [460-810]), while remaining mostly unchanged in the eastern USA. The western USA showed large interannual fluctuations that were attributable to the increasing incidence of wildfires. Furthermore, the black carbon-to-PM2·5 mass ratio increased annually by 2·4% across the USA, mainly due to increasing wildfire emissions in the western USA and more rapid reductions of other components in the eastern USA, suggesting a potential increase in the relative toxicity of PM2·5. 100% of populated areas in the USA have experienced at least one day of PM2·5 pollution exceeding the daily air quality guideline level of 15 µg/m3 during 2000-2020, with 99% experiencing at least 7 days and 85% experiencing at least 30 days. The recent widespread wildfires have greatly increased the daily exposure risks in the western USA, and have also impacted the midwestern USA due to the long-range transport of smoke. INTERPRETATION: Wildfires have become increasingly intensive and frequent in the western USA, resulting in a significant increase in smoke-related emissions in populated areas. This increase is likely to have contributed to a decline in air quality and an increase in attributable mortality. Reducing fire risk via effective policies besides mitigation of climate warming, such as wildfire prevention and management, forest restoration, and new revenue generation, could substantially improve air quality and public health in the coming decades. FUNDING: National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Applied Science programme, NASA MODIS maintenance programme, NASA MAIA satellite mission programme, NASA GMAO core fund, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) GEO-XO project, NOAA Atmospheric Chemistry, Carbon Cycle, and Climate (AC4) programme, and NOAA Educational Partnership Program with Minority Serving Institutions.


Subject(s)
Air Pollutants , Deep Learning , Particulate Matter , Soot , Wildfires , Humans , Air Pollutants/adverse effects , Air Pollutants/analysis , Carbon/adverse effects , Carbon/analysis , Cohort Studies , Particulate Matter/adverse effects , Particulate Matter/analysis , Soot/adverse effects , Soot/analysis , Wildfires/mortality , United States/epidemiology , Mortality/trends
17.
Epidemiol Serv Saude ; 32(3): e2023313, 2023.
Article in English, Portuguese | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38018647

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: To analyze chronic kidney disease mortality in Brazil according to sex, age group and region of residence, from 2009 to 2020. METHODS: This was a time series study having deaths as its unit of analysis, based on Mortality Information System data. The mortality rate was standardized using the direct method and the temporal trend was analyzed using the Prais-Winsten method. RESULTS: There was a rising trend in chronic kidney disease mortality, ranging from 2.82, in 2009, to 3.24 in 2020 (average annual increase 1.29%; 95%CI 0.73;1.85), with a greater increase in males (1.14% per year; 95%CI 0.52;1.76), those aged 75 years and over (2.23% per year; 95%CI 1.87; 2.60) and in the Northern Region (3.86% per year; 95%CI 1.86;5.90) and Northeast Region (3.36% per year; 95%CI 2.24;4.50). CONCLUSION: Chronic kidney disease mortality showed a rising trend in the period, with sociodemographic disparities. MAIN RESULTS: A rising mortality trend was found for both sexes, with a greater increase in males, those aged over 75 years and in the North and Northeast regions of Brazil; mortality was highest in the Midwest region throughout the entire period. IMPLICATIONS FOR SERVICES: The results point to the need to implement public policies with guidelines for addressing chronic kidney disease, focused on strengthening Primary Health Care (PHC). PERSPECTIVES: Expanding access to health services, health education and integration between PHC, health surveillance and specialized care are strategies that would possibly prove to be efficient in managing this chronic health condition.


Subject(s)
Mortality , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic , Female , Humans , Male , Brazil/epidemiology , Information Systems , Renal Insufficiency, Chronic/mortality , Mortality/trends
18.
Diabetes Res Clin Pract ; 205: 110944, 2023 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37804999

ABSTRACT

AIMS: We determined 10-year all-cause mortality trends in diagnosed type 2 diabetes (T2D) population in West Malaysia, a middle-income country in the Western-Pacific region. METHODS: One million T2D people aged 40-79 registered in the National Diabetes Registry (2009-2018) were linked to death records (censored on 31 December 2019). Standardized absolute mortality rates and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were estimated relative to the Malaysian general population, and standardized to the 2019 registry population with respect to sex, age group, and disease duration. RESULTS: Overall all-cause standardized mortality rates were unchanged in both sexes. Rates increased in males aged 40-49 (annual average percent change [AAPC]: 2.46 % [95 % CI 0.42 %, 4.55 %]) and 50-59 (AAPC: 1.91 % [95 % CI 0.73 %, 3.10 %]), and females aged 40-49 (AAPC: 3.39 % [95 % CI 1.32 %, 5.50 %]). In both sexes, rates increased among those with 1) > 15 years disease duration, 2) prior cardiovascular disease, and 3) Bumiputera (Malay/native) ethnicity. The overall SMR was 1.83 (95 % CI 1.80, 1.86) for males and 1.85 (95 % CI 1.82, 1.89) for females, being higher in younger age groups and showed an increasing trend in those with either > 15 years disease duration or prior cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality trends worsened in certain T2D population in Malaysia.


Subject(s)
Cardiovascular Diseases , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 , Adult , Female , Humans , Male , Asian People/statistics & numerical data , Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/mortality , Malaysia/epidemiology , Mortality/trends , Registries , Middle Aged , Aged
19.
Rev. chil. obstet. ginecol. (En línea) ; 88(5): 163-168, oct. 2023. tab, graf
Article in Spanish | LILACS | ID: biblio-1530023

ABSTRACT

Introducción: El cáncer de mama es una causa de muerte evitable en las mujeres de hasta 74 años de edad. Sin embargo, es el cáncer más frecuente y la primera causa de muerte por tumores en esa población. Objetivo: Analizar las tendencias de la mortalidad por cáncer de mama en las mujeres de Argentina entre 2005 y 2020, considerando el grupo de edad y la región geográfica. Método: Estudio cuantitativo y descriptivo con perspectiva sociodemográfica. Se calcularon tasas específicas de mortalidad a partir de datos oficiales y se aplicaron modelos de regresión joinpoint para evaluar su tendencia temporal. Resultados: La tasa de mortalidad ajustada por cáncer de mama disminuyó significativamente (PPCA: −1,5%; IC95%: −1,3% a −0,7%); sin embargo, aumentó en las mujeres de 25 a 34 años (PPCA: 2,3%; IC95%: 1,4% a 3,2%). El descenso registrado se trasladó mayormente a las regiones Centro, Cuyo y Noroeste, mientras que las tasas de mortalidad de las regiones Noreste y Patagónica no variaron significativamente. Conclusiones: No obstante los progresos documentados, se evidencian desafíos para reducir la mortalidad por cáncer de mama en las poblaciones más jóvenes. Asimismo, persisten las desigualdades regionales, lo que destaca la importancia de adaptar las acciones a las necesidades del territorio.


Background: Breast cancer is a preventable cause of death among women up to 74 years of age. However, it is the most common cause of cancer death among this population. Objective: To analyze female breast cancer mortality trends in Argentina between 2005 and 2020, taking into account age groups and geographical regions. Method: Quantitative and descriptive study carried out from a socio-demographic perspective. Specific mortality rates were calculated based on official data, and joinpoint regression models were applied to evaluate time trends in mortality. Results: The adjusted mortality rate attributed to breast cancer decreased significantly (AAPC: −1,5%; CI95%: −1,3% to −0,7%); however, it increased among women aged 25-34 (AAPC: 2,3%; CI95%: 1,4% to 3,2%). Besides, the decreasing of mortality took place mainly in Central, Cuyo and Northwest regions meanwhile the mortality rates from Northeast and Patagonia regions didnt vary significantly. Conclusions: Although progress has been made, there are still some challenges regarding the reduction of breast cancer mortality in young women. In addition, regional disparities remain, highlighting the importance to adapt actions to territorial needs.


Subject(s)
Humans , Female , Adolescent , Adult , Middle Aged , Aged , Breast Neoplasms/mortality , Argentina/epidemiology , Regression Analysis , Mortality/trends , Age Distribution , Health Status Disparities , Sociodemographic Factors
20.
Actas urol. esp ; 47(8): 517-526, oct. 2023. tab
Article in Spanish | IBECS | ID: ibc-226121

ABSTRACT

Objetivo Nos proponemos actualizar las tasas de mortalidad por cáncer de vejiga en España de 1980 a 2021, estandarizadas por sexo, grupo de edad y comunidades autónomas (CC. AA.). Materiales y métodos Se utilizaron las bases de datos públicas en línea del Instituto Nacional de Estadística para obtener datos sobre población y mortalidad por cáncer de vejiga. Se calcularon las tasas de mortalidad estandarizadas por edad (TMEE) para todas las edades y las truncadas (<75 y ≥75 años) y se presentaron como tasas por cada 100.000 personas. Se utilizó el modelo de regresión Joinpoint para el cálculo y análisis de las tendencias de las TMEE por cáncer de vejiga. Resultados En la última década, las TMEE por cáncer de vejiga (todas las edades,<75 años y ≥75 años) disminuyeron significativamente en España para ambos sexos. Esta tendencia se observó en 12 CC. AA. para los hombres y en 4 CC. AA. (Andalucía, Canarias, Cataluña y Madrid) para las mujeres, aunque en proporciones diferentes. Para los hombres, la TMEE permaneció estable en Castilla-León y La Rioja (<75 años), Cantabria, Castilla-La Mancha y Valencia (≥75 años) y las 2 regiones castellanas (todas las edades). En el caso de las mujeres, las TMEE también disminuyeron en Valencia (<75 y ≥75), Castilla-León (≥75), Galicia (≥75 y todas las edades) y Navarra (<75 y todas las edades). Conclusión Nuestros resultados revelan variaciones significativas en las tendencias por CC. AA., sexo y grupo de edad, enfatizando la necesidad de un seguimiento continuado e intervenciones específicas para reducir aún más las tasas de mortalidad por cáncer de vejiga en España (AU)


Objective We propose to update bladder cancer mortality rates in Spain from 1980 to 2021, by sex and age-group, by autonomous community (AC). Materials and methods The public online databases of the National Statistical Institute were used to obtain data on population and bladder cancer mortality. Age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs), all ages and truncated (<75 and ≥75) were estimated and reported as rates per 100,000 persons. Joinpoint regression software was used for estimation and trend analysis of ASMRs bladder cancer. Results In the last decade, the ASMR for bladder cancer (all ages,<75 years and ≥75 years) decreased significantly in Spain for both sexes. This trend was observed in 12 ACs for men and in 4 ACs (Andalusia, Canary Islands, Catalonia and Madrid) for women, although to different degrees. For men, ASMR remained stable in Castilla-León and La Rioja (<75 years), Cantabria, Castilla-La Mancha and Valencia (≥75years) and the 2 Castilian regions (all ages). For women, ASMR also decreased in Valencia (<75 and ≥75), Castilla-León (≥75), Galicia (≥75 and all ages) and Navarre (<75 and all ages). Conclusion Our results reveal significant variations in trends by AC, sex and age group, emphasizing the need for continued follow-up and targeted interventions to further reduce bladder cancer mortality rates in Spain (AU)


Subject(s)
Humans , Male , Female , Adult , Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/mortality , Mortality/trends , Spain/epidemiology
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